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Demographic coverage Planner

Population, households, workers, jobs, and equity demographics within walking distance of your stops, tallied at the individual census-block level from US Census data. Per-route and system-wide figures suitable for a grant narrative ("33,600 residents and 32,000 jobs are within a quarter-mile of the network") or for sanity-checking a service alternative.

The system-level summary is free on every plan. The per-route coverage breakdown is a Planner feature.

Coverage panel in GTFS·X showing population, household, worker, ridership propensity, transit need, and job totals for Sunny Valley, plus an equity profile, with the walkshed buffer rendered on the map.
Coverage analysis on the Sunny Valley feed. System totals (population, households, workers, jobs, and the ridership propensity / transit need estimates) tallied from the exact census blocks inside the walkshed, with the equity profile against the county baseline below and the buffer overlaid on the map.

What it is

The Coverage panel reports, for the area within walking distance of your transit network: population, households, workers, and jobs, plus two demand estimates, ridership propensity and transit need, built from four underlying segments: people in zero-vehicle households, people under 200% of the federal poverty line, seniors 65+, and people with a disability. Alongside the totals it shows an equity profile (minority, low-income, zero-vehicle, senior, and youth shares) compared against the county baseline, and a Download CSV of every figure.

Estimate vs. count, and there is no honest total. Population, households, workers, jobs, and each of the four segments are straight counts tallied from Census tables; the panel badges them ACS count. Ridership propensity and transit need are statistical unions of those segments and are badged estimate. The segments overlap (a person can be carless and low income and disabled at once), so never add the segments together, and never add ridership propensity to transit need since need already contains everything in propensity. See Rider propensity for the full derivation and evidence review; this page covers what changes when the same model runs against an exact walkshed instead of the whole state.

The counts are exact rather than approximate: GTFS·X tallies the individual US census blocks whose center falls inside the walkshed. Block population comes from the 2020 decennial count, American Community Survey demographics are apportioned down to each block by population, and jobs are workplace counts from the Census LEHD program. It works for any feed in the 50 states plus DC.

It answers the most-asked question in a service-planning meeting ("how many people does this route reach?") without firing up a desktop GIS or pulling Census tables by hand. Run it on your existing network to anchor a discussion, or on a proposed alternative to support a recommendation.

When to use it

How to use it in GTFS·X

  1. Open the feed in the editor and click Coverage in the left sidebar.
  2. Click Analyze Coverage. GTFS·X loads the census blocks around your stops and tallies the ones inside the walkshed. The first run for a region takes a few seconds; results cache locally.
  3. Read the system summary: population, households, workers, jobs, and the ridership propensity and transit need estimates, with the count of census blocks covered noted underneath.
  4. Below it, the demographic profile compares the covered area's equity shares against the county baseline (a ratio above 1.0 means the served area over-represents that group).
  5. Scroll the per-route breakdown to see how each route contributes, then use Download CSV to export every figure (system, county baseline, and per route) for a report. Pair a route's coverage with the Cost estimation panel for a service-per-dollar view.
  6. Planner-plan users can switch on street-network walksheds for walk-distance reach instead of a straight-line buffer.

Methodology

GTFS·X counts the individual US census blocks whose center point falls inside the walkshed, then sums each block's attributes. Counting real blocks rather than approximating with overlap math is what makes the figures exact.

What changed. Earlier versions of this panel reported a single "high-propensity riders" figure: renters, zero-vehicle households, and adults 18 to 24, summed and scaled by a flat 0.6 to discount the overlap between those groups. That factor didn't hold up against Census microdata, so it, and the renter and 18-to-24 segments, have been retired in favor of the two-composite model described below. See Rider propensity for the full evidence review.

Limits

See also